Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | YSU -250 IUIN +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IUIN +2 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | YSU -3.5 (-5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.8 (-7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -2.7 (-4.7) | 148.2 (-6.2) | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -2.8 (-4.8) | 146.5 (-4.5) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -3.3 (-5.3) | 149.8 (-7.8) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -2.6 (-4.6) | 149.2 (-7.2) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | YSU 85 – 76 IUIN |
| Dec 6, 2025 | YSU 78 – 55 IUIN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | IUIN 84 – 79 YSU |
| Jan 1, 2025 | YSU 77 – 61 IUIN |
| Jan 26, 2024 | YSU 78 – 50 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-12 | 8-10 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 7-9 |
| Home | 10-5 | 3-5 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-5 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 75.8 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#269) | -7.4 (#277) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#244) | -0.83 (#240) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.17 (#247) | -1.31 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#231) | 0.465 (#226) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.5% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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