Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | ORE -138 COLO +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +4 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -1.9 (+5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.3 (-24.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -0.5 (+3.5) | 140.5 (-24.5) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -0.4 (+3.6) | 134.0 (-18.0) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -0.7 (+3.3) | 139.4 (-23.4) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -0.8 (+3.2) | 139.1 (-23.1) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 17, 2024 | ORE 75 – 68 COLO |
| Mar 8, 2024 | COLO 79 – 75 ORE |
| Jan 19, 2024 | COLO 86 – 70 ORE |
| Jan 27, 2023 | ORE 75 – 69 COLO |
| Jan 6, 2023 | COLO 68 – 41 ORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-7 | 23-9 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 14-6 |
| Home | 11-2 | 11-1 |
| Away | 7-2 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 63.8 |
| Massey | 11.0 (#40) | 15.4 (#13) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.89 (#55) | 1.95 (#51) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.44 (#51) | 2.70 (#40) |
| RPI | 0.570 (#61) | 0.598 (#32) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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