You pay for this but they give you that. "Hey Hey, My My" - Neil Young
Horizon League · UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena · February 19, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread MILW -1.5 Away covered
O/U 152.5 Over
Money MILW -110 / OAK +125
Model Predictions
Spread Total MILW win
Actual OAK +4 166 Lost
Massey MILW -4.9 (-8.9) — —
Massey Totals — 158.1 (+7.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 55% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 51% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML MILW -3.7 (-7.7) 155.8 (+10.2) 64% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ MILW -2.9 (-6.9) 156.8 (+9.2) 59% ✗
Baseline Plus ML MILW -3.2 (-7.2) 157.3 (+8.7) 62% ✗
Baseline ML MILW -3.2 (-7.2) 157.8 (+8.2) 62% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 22, 2026 OAK 81 – 70 MILW
Jan 16, 2026 OAK 73 – 60 MILW
Mar 7, 2025 OAK 72 – 64 MILW
Feb 28, 2025 MILW 71 – 66 OAK
Jan 3, 2025 OAK 65 – 49 MILW

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MILW OAK
Overall 10-12 12-18
Conference 7-10 10-10
Home 4-5 5-4
Away 6-6 6-11
Neutral 0-1 1-3
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.5 74.7
Avg Pts Against 76.3 81.2
Massey -4.5 (#240) -6.9 (#274)
Bradley-Terry -1.04 (#255) -0.81 (#237)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.45 (#261) -1.02 (#232)
RPI 0.447 (#257) 0.504 (#164)
Shooting & Four Factors MILW OAK
FG% 44.0% 41.3%
3PT% 32.7% 33.2%
REB / G 33.9 34.3
OREB / G 7.9 11.5
AST / TO 1.11 1.08
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.1% 48.4%
TOV% 16.0% 18.5%
ORB% 22.2% 29.9%
FT Rate 25.7% 23.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.0% 56.8%
Opp TOV% 18.7% 19.7%
DRB% 73.9% 66.0%
Opp FT Rate 23.5% 15.8%

Game Analysis

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