Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | EWU -300 MONT +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +14 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | EWU -7.5 (+6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.5 (+22.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -8.4 (+5.6) | 146.6 (+19.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -6.5 (+7.5) | 144.3 (+21.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -7.6 (+6.4) | 145.0 (+21.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -7.6 (+6.4) | 146.2 (+19.8) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | EWU 82 – 74 MONT |
| Jan 10, 2026 | EWU 66 – 65 MONT |
| Mar 4, 2025 | MONT 83 – 72 EWU |
| Jan 3, 2025 | MONT 92 – 81 EWU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | EWU 89 – 79 MONT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-8 | 15-13 |
| Conference | 12-3 | 7-9 |
| Home | 7-2 | 8-4 |
| Away | 6-5 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#111) | -0.9 (#180) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#157) | -1.12 (#260) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#146) | -1.20 (#251) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#83) | 0.476 (#203) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 28.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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