Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | UTM +600 EKU -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +17 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | EKU -14.6 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.3 (+4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -10.3 (-6.7) | 153.2 (+7.8) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -11.3 (-5.7) | 153.7 (+7.3) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -11.6 (-5.4) | 153.9 (+7.1) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -11.6 (-5.4) | 155.0 (+6.0) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2023 | UTM 80 – 74 EKU |
| Jan 22, 2021 | EKU 113 – 73 UTM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTM | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-16 | 22-7 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 15-5 |
| Home | 6-7 | 10-2 |
| Away | 2-9 | 9-4 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.2 | 80.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -16.3 (#341) | 0.7 (#156) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.84 (#314) | 0.48 (#140) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.03 (#327) | -0.10 (#174) |
| RPI | 0.415 (#304) | 0.529 (#122) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTM | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.6% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.6% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 17.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.4% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 24.4% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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