Let fury have the hour / Anger can be power. "Clampdown" - The Clash
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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30–23 on winners spread MAE 9.2 53 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Monmouth @ Iona +1.2 157.0 53% 65–88 ✓
Saint Francis @ Wagner +6.4 138.5 77% 52–67 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Long Island University +8.4 141.9 80% 74–87 ✓
Hawai'i @ Cal State Northridge -3.8 145.4 36% 80–88 ✗
Cal Poly @ Long Beach State +5.4 140.7 65% 69–74 ✓
San Diego State @ Fresno State -13.7 131.8 13% 75–57 ✓
DePaul @ St. John's +10.5 148.7 78% 88–83 ✗
San Diego @ Gonzaga +29.8 157.8 91% 69–106 ✓
Virginia @ Duke -1.4 134.2 52% 65–66 ✗
Kennesaw State @ Lipscomb +9.7 137.9 83% 63–77 ✓
Marist @ Saint Peter's +6.8 123.3 71% 51–50 ✗
Colorado @ Oregon State -5.7 135.6 25% 61–57 ✓
Denver @ Kansas City +10.9 129.7 81% 69–80 ✓
North Dakota @ Omaha +0.3 143.0 49% 81–69 ✗
Green Bay @ UIC +1.5 142.5 54% 69–59 ✗
UC Riverside @ UC San Diego -7.8 139.2 25% 82–83 ✗
UC Irvine @ Cal State Fullerton -5.0 145.9 30% 64–67 ✗
South Dakota State @ North Dakota State -0.2 140.6 52% 82–84 ✗
SIU Edwardsville @ Murray State +14.0 140.2 88% 62–89 ✓
Utah @ Oregon +7.3 137.2 77% 64–67 ✓
Utah Valley @ New Mexico State +1.5 146.9 57% 60–67 ✓
California Baptist @ Grand Canyon +11.5 143.4 85% 65–62 ✗
Tarleton State @ Utah Tech -4.0 144.4 35% 48–64 ✗
California @ Washington +0.2 137.0 52% 51–62 ✓
Arizona State @ UCLA +9.7 149.2 81% 79–80 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Santa Barbara +9.9 130.7 81% 44–63 ✓
Rhode Island @ George Washington -6.5 145.9 29% 70–78 ✗
Siena @ Niagara -1.3 130.4 38% 68–66 ✓
Michigan @ Ohio State +2.5 148.1 55% 92–87 ✗
Cincinnati @ Houston +13.9 137.0 87% 52–90 ✓
Boston University @ Colgate +18.7 151.7 89% 63–78 ✓
Rider @ Quinnipiac +4.0 144.6 65% 68–93 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Coastal Carolina +8.3 140.7 79% 55–65 ✓
South Florida @ Temple +2.1 134.4 56% 83–76 ✗
Stony Brook @ UAlbany +1.7 133.4 61% 59–67 ✓
Sacred Heart @ St. Francis Brooklyn +2.0 156.0 58% 88–82 ✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Fairleigh Dickinson -0.0 137.7 40% 74–61 ✓
Binghamton @ NJIT +4.7 138.5 66% 72–58 ✗
Army @ Holy Cross -4.4 145.7 38% 51–67 ✗
Maryland @ Rutgers +5.0 131.3 72% 68–59 ✗
Davidson @ St. Bonaventure +6.1 136.1 75% 58–69 ✓
Bryant @ Merrimack -0.4 143.0 34% 76–60 ✓
Evansville @ Drake +16.4 137.4 88% 71–85 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Florida A&M +6.7 136.3 65% 70–63 ✗
UNLV @ San José State -9.7 141.9 17% 67–64 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Long Island University +8.6 143.6 81% 79–81 ✓
Saint Francis @ Wagner +6.8 134.5 77% 68–70 ✓
Penn State @ Iowa +11.1 153.6 86% 68–74 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Texas Southern +1.2 136.5 38% 77–75 ✗
Valparaiso @ Southern Illinois +1.0 131.0 55% 66–65 ✗
Little Rock @ UL Monroe -1.9 134.1 39% 66–78 ✗
Lehigh @ Loyola Maryland +12.2 146.7 86% 76–72 ✗
Navy @ American University -0.5 142.4 46% 69–60 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.