Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | GCU -500 CBU +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +3 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | GCU -11.6 (-14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (-18.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -12.0 (-15.0) | 143.8 (-16.8) | 87% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -9.4 (-12.4) | 139.1 (-12.1) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -12.1 (-15.1) | 141.9 (-14.9) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -11.5 (-14.5) | 143.4 (-16.4) | 85% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2025 | GCU 75 – 66 CBU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | GCU 66 – 64 CBU |
| Feb 9, 2025 | CBU 85 – 71 GCU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | GCU 68 – 47 CBU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | GCU 79 – 76 CBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GCU | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-7 | 13-10 |
| Conference | 9-3 | 6-6 |
| Home | 10-3 | 11-4 |
| Away | 5-1 | 2-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 76.5 |
| Massey | 4.2 (#108) | -4.9 (#247) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#137) | -1.66 (#299) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#113) | -1.78 (#283) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#139) | 0.423 (#293) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GCU | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.6% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 40.5% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 78.4% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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