Betting Lines
| Spread | USF -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | TEM +130 USF -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USF +7 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | TEM -2.6 (-9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.5 (+25.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -2.3 (-9.3) | 134.8 (+24.2) | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -0.6 (-7.6) | 131.3 (+27.7) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -2.4 (-9.4) | 133.6 (+25.4) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -2.1 (-9.1) | 134.4 (+24.6) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | TEM 79 – 78 USF |
| Feb 27, 2025 | TEM 73 – 71 USF |
| Feb 7, 2025 | USF 100 – 91 TEM |
| Jan 25, 2024 | USF 75 – 69 TEM |
| Jan 5, 2024 | USF 76 – 68 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | USF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-11 | 9-13 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 4-10 |
| Home | 3-5 | 4-6 |
| Away | 2-5 | 3-4 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 70.8 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#144) | 1.0 (#150) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#148) | 0.62 (#126) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#132) | 0.78 (#124) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#197) | 0.513 (#147) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | USF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.5% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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