Betting Lines
| Spread | OMA -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | OMA -110 UND +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OMA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UND +12 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | OMA -1.2 (-13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OMA -0.5 (-12.5) | 143.1 (+6.9) | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UND -0.3 (-11.7) | 140.2 (+9.8) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UND -0.5 (-11.5) | 143.7 (+6.3) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OMA -0.3 (-12.3) | 143.0 (+7.0) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | UND 76 – 73 OMA |
| Jan 9, 2026 | OMA 90 – 79 UND |
| Feb 7, 2025 | OMA 80 – 77 UND |
| Jan 3, 2025 | OMA 95 – 85 UND |
| Mar 11, 2024 | OMA 73 – 72 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OMA | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-20 | 9-17 |
| Conference | 3-11 | 8-8 |
| Home | 1-5 | 5-3 |
| Away | 3-12 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.0 | 75.7 |
| Massey | -10.5 (#314) | -9.4 (#300) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.64 (#333) | -1.81 (#312) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.44 (#333) | -2.59 (#319) |
| RPI | 0.408 (#313) | 0.414 (#303) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OMA | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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