Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | WASH -110 CAL +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +11 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | WASH -0.3 (+10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.3 (-26.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -0.9 (+10.1) | 137.5 (-24.5) | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAL -0.7 (+11.7) | 135.0 (-22.0) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -0.2 (+10.8) | 138.2 (-25.2) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -0.2 (+10.8) | 137.0 (-24.0) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2024 | CAL 82 – 80 WASH |
| Jan 19, 2024 | WASH 77 – 75 CAL |
| Feb 24, 2023 | WASH 65 – 56 CAL |
| Jan 14, 2023 | WASH 81 – 78 CAL |
| Feb 4, 2022 | WASH 84 – 63 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-21 | 9-20 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 3-17 |
| Home | 4-7 | 6-8 |
| Away | 1-9 | 1-11 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 64.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 69.5 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#191) | 0.1 (#162) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#213) | -0.07 (#175) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#211) | 0.18 (#156) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#230) | 0.466 (#226) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 63.4% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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