Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | UCLA -300 ASU +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +1 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | UCLA -9.7 (-8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.4 (+7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -9.7 (-8.7) | 147.2 (+11.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -8.7 (-7.7) | 145.7 (+13.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -10.6 (-9.6) | 149.2 (+9.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -9.7 (-8.7) | 149.2 (+9.8) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2025 | UCLA 90 – 77 ASU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | UCLA 59 – 47 ASU |
| Jan 18, 2024 | UCLA 68 – 66 ASU |
| Mar 3, 2023 | UCLA 79 – 61 ASU |
| Jan 20, 2023 | UCLA 74 – 62 ASU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 11-14 |
| Conference | 13-6 | 7-10 |
| Home | 11-1 | 7-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-6 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 74.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 77.1 |
| Massey | 10.7 (#45) | 3.4 (#118) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.22 (#34) | 0.60 (#127) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.80 (#34) | 0.82 (#120) |
| RPI | 0.607 (#22) | 0.524 (#126) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 21.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 30.4% |
Game Analysis
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