Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | NIA +210 SIE -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +2 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | SIE -2.6 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.8 (+9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -1.3 (-0.7) | 129.5 (+4.5) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -1.4 (-0.6) | 127.8 (+6.2) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -1.8 (-0.2) | 130.6 (+3.4) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -1.3 (-0.7) | 130.4 (+3.6) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | SIE 82 – 79 NIA |
| Dec 6, 2025 | SIE 83 – 54 NIA |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SIE 94 – 60 NIA |
| Dec 6, 2024 | NIA 69 – 68 SIE |
| Mar 13, 2024 | NIA 67 – 65 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIA | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-11 | 12-5 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 12-4 |
| Home | 5-3 | 6-2 |
| Away | 3-7 | 6-2 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.7 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 63.0 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#223) | 1.7 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#207) | 0.66 (#120) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#210) | 0.93 (#114) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#180) | 0.561 (#70) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIA | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 17.5% |
Game Analysis
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