Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | CSUF +400 UCI -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUF +3 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -6.7 (+9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (-14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -4.8 (+7.8) | 146.0 (-15.0) | 29% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -5.2 (+8.2) | 142.7 (-11.7) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -5.1 (+8.1) | 144.3 (-13.3) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -5.0 (+8.0) | 145.9 (-14.9) | 30% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | UCI 86 – 65 CSUF |
| Jan 4, 2026 | UCI 86 – 64 CSUF |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UCI 76 – 51 CSUF |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UCI 82 – 62 CSUF |
| Mar 10, 2024 | UCI 81 – 71 CSUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUF | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-10 | 18-9 |
| Conference | 5-7 | 10-4 |
| Home | 5-4 | 10-1 |
| Away | 1-5 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 64.1 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#251) | 4.0 (#112) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#237) | 0.84 (#106) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#217) | 1.13 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#250) | 0.549 (#84) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUF | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 22.3% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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