Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | DRKE -800 EVAN +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +14 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -17.7 (-3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.8 (+18.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -15.0 (-1.0) | 137.0 (+19.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -13.6 (+0.4) | 132.6 (+23.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -15.9 (-1.9) | 136.7 (+19.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -16.4 (-2.4) | 137.4 (+18.6) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | DRKE 82 – 78 EVAN |
| Dec 21, 2025 | DRKE 66 – 65 EVAN |
| Feb 27, 2025 | DRKE 65 – 61 EVAN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | DRKE 63 – 40 EVAN |
| Mar 9, 2024 | DRKE 79 – 58 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-5 | 9-16 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-1 | 8-4 |
| Away | 9-2 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.8 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 11.0 (#38) | -4.3 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.45 (#24) | -0.77 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.27 (#60) | -1.06 (#238) |
| RPI | 0.554 (#77) | 0.454 (#245) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.6% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 27.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 5.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 18.7% |
| FT Rate | 16.9% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 56.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 76.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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