Betting Lines
| Spread | SJU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | SJU -500 DEP +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEP +5 | 171 | Lost |
| Massey | SJU -9.7 (-14.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.9 (+20.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJU -10.7 (-15.7) | 147.2 (+23.8) | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SJU -8.2 (-13.2) | 150.4 (+20.6) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJU -9.6 (-14.6) | 148.7 (+22.3) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SJU -10.5 (-15.5) | 148.7 (+22.3) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | SJU 68 – 56 DEP |
| Dec 17, 2025 | SJU 79 – 66 DEP |
| Feb 20, 2025 | SJU 82 – 58 DEP |
| Dec 17, 2024 | SJU 89 – 61 DEP |
| Mar 6, 2024 | SJU 104 – 77 DEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJU | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-11 | 5-14 |
| Conference | 10-9 | 2-13 |
| Home | 11-3 | 2-8 |
| Away | 4-6 | 2-5 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.0 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 8.2 (#74) | 0.9 (#151) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.73 (#57) | -0.55 (#210) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.34 (#56) | -0.31 (#190) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#82) | 0.419 (#295) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJU | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 15.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.