Betting Lines
| Spread | SJU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | DEP +550 SJU -900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJU +24 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | SJU -10.8 (-13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (-5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJU -10.3 (-13.7) | 141.2 (-1.2) | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SJU -11.8 (-12.2) | 140.7 (-0.7) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJU -9.3 (-14.7) | 140.7 (-0.7) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SJU -9.6 (-14.4) | 139.9 (+0.1) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | SJU 68 – 56 DEP |
| Dec 17, 2025 | SJU 79 – 66 DEP |
| Dec 17, 2024 | SJU 89 – 61 DEP |
| Mar 6, 2024 | SJU 104 – 77 DEP |
| Feb 6, 2024 | SJU 85 – 57 DEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEP | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-20 | 31-5 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 18-2 |
| Home | 11-8 | 19-0 |
| Away | 2-10 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 78.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 65.8 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#113) | 17.3 (#19) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#193) | 2.84 (#18) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#164) | 4.23 (#11) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#269) | 0.626 (#13) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEP | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 14.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 37.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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