Betting Lines
| Spread | SJU -19.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | SJU -2400 DEP +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJU +13 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | SJU -21.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.0 (-4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJU -15.7 (-2.7) | 146.5 (-1.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SJU -17.7 (-4.7) | 146.2 (-1.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJU -15.4 (-2.4) | 144.4 (+0.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SJU -16.2 (-3.2) | 145.5 (-0.5) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | SJU 68 – 56 DEP |
| Feb 20, 2025 | SJU 82 – 58 DEP |
| Dec 17, 2024 | SJU 89 – 61 DEP |
| Mar 6, 2024 | SJU 104 – 77 DEP |
| Feb 6, 2024 | SJU 85 – 57 DEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJU | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-7 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 8-12 |
| Home | 18-2 | 11-7 |
| Away | 9-1 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 18.6 (#13) | 2.0 (#142) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.99 (#54) | 0.31 (#154) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.32 (#39) | 0.22 (#163) |
| RPI | 0.618 (#30) | 0.474 (#221) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJU | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 14.1 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 38.7% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 34.0% | 32.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 64.7% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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