Betting Lines
| Spread | SJU -19.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | DEP +1400 SJU -8000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJU +27 | 181 | Lost |
| Massey | SJU -18.8 (-8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (+33.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJU -15.2 (-11.8) | 149.2 (+31.8) | 12% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SJU -15.6 (-11.4) | 150.8 (+30.2) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJU -16.0 (-11.0) | 148.5 (+32.5) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SJU -14.5 (-12.5) | 151.1 (+29.9) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | SJU 68 – 56 DEP |
| Dec 17, 2025 | SJU 79 – 66 DEP |
| Feb 20, 2025 | SJU 82 – 58 DEP |
| Dec 17, 2024 | SJU 89 – 61 DEP |
| Feb 6, 2024 | SJU 85 – 57 DEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEP | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-29 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 0-20 | 11-9 |
| Home | 3-15 | 11-4 |
| Away | 0-11 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L20 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.7 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.8 | 71.9 |
| Massey | -9.1 (#315) | 13.0 (#28) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.91 (#329) | 1.57 (#61) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.95 (#315) | 2.16 (#51) |
| RPI | 0.426 (#315) | 0.544 (#103) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEP | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 14.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 38.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.1% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.