Betting Lines
| Spread | SJU -21.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | SJU -10000 DEP +1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJU +28 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | SJU -24.1 (+3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (-3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SJU -17.8 (+10.2) | 142.5 (-0.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJU -19.9 (+8.1) | 144.5 (-2.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SJU -22.1 (+5.9) | 144.0 (-2.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJU -20.6 (+7.4) | 144.3 (-2.3) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | SJU 68 – 56 DEP |
| Dec 17, 2025 | SJU 79 – 66 DEP |
| Feb 20, 2025 | SJU 82 – 58 DEP |
| Dec 17, 2024 | SJU 89 – 61 DEP |
| Mar 6, 2024 | SJU 104 – 77 DEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJU | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 3-29 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 0-20 |
| Home | 11-4 | 3-15 |
| Away | 6-7 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L20 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 64.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 81.8 |
| Massey | 12.2 (#35) | -8.5 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#67) | -1.71 (#320) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.13 (#58) | -1.82 (#305) |
| RPI | 0.570 (#68) | 0.441 (#282) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJU | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 29.9 |
| OREB / G | 14.7 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 38.8% | 21.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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