Betting Lines
| Spread | SJU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | DEP +380 SJU -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJU +12 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | SJU -10.6 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (-23.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJU -8.2 (-3.8) | 145.3 (-21.3) | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SJU -8.9 (-3.1) | 144.7 (-20.7) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJU -8.3 (-3.7) | 142.2 (-18.2) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SJU -8.0 (-4.0) | 143.7 (-19.7) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2025 | SJU 79 – 66 DEP |
| Feb 20, 2025 | SJU 82 – 58 DEP |
| Dec 17, 2024 | SJU 89 – 61 DEP |
| Mar 6, 2024 | SJU 104 – 77 DEP |
| Feb 6, 2024 | SJU 85 – 57 DEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEP | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 30-7 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 18-2 |
| Home | 11-7 | 18-2 |
| Away | 4-7 | 9-1 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#104) | 18.7 (#19) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#96) | 2.62 (#32) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#92) | 3.45 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#169) | 0.615 (#27) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEP | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 13.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 38.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 31.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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