Betting Lines
| Spread | LIU -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | LIU -800 CCSU +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIU +2 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | LIU -10.2 (-8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.4 (+14.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIU -8.9 (-6.9) | 145.0 (+15.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIU -8.1 (-6.1) | 143.2 (+16.8) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIU -8.7 (-6.7) | 144.6 (+15.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIU -8.6 (-6.6) | 143.6 (+16.4) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | LIU 80 – 59 CCSU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | LIU 84 – 78 CCSU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | CCSU 63 – 50 LIU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | LIU 54 – 52 CCSU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | CCSU 78 – 64 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-9 | 5-16 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-3 | 3-6 |
| Away | 3-6 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 77.4 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#204) | -10.2 (#313) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#179) | -1.19 (#263) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#176) | -1.53 (#269) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#187) | 0.432 (#279) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.