Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | TXSO +100 PV +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PV +2 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | PV -0.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (+15.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -0.5 (-2.5) | 136.9 (+15.1) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PV -0.0 (-2.0) | 135.6 (+16.4) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PV -0.4 (-1.6) | 136.2 (+15.8) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -1.2 (-3.2) | 136.5 (+15.5) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | PV 70 – 59 TXSO |
| Jan 31, 2026 | PV 85 – 78 TXSO |
| Mar 8, 2025 | TXSO 80 – 68 PV |
| Feb 1, 2025 | TXSO 79 – 63 PV |
| Mar 9, 2024 | TXSO 93 – 78 PV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXSO | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-9 | 16-5 |
| Conference | 10-3 | 13-0 |
| Home | 8-2 | 8-0 |
| Away | 5-6 | 5-3 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 64.2 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#238) | -1.6 (#186) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#166) | 0.26 (#152) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#209) | -0.11 (#170) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#114) | 0.518 (#137) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXSO | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 39.7 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 25.8% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 31.8% |
Game Analysis
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