Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | PV +280 TXSO -360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +12 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | TXSO -5.1 (-6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.8 (-1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -5.7 (-6.3) | 141.5 (+6.5) | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -4.8 (-7.2) | 143.3 (+4.7) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -7.1 (-4.9) | 139.8 (+8.2) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -5.0 (-7.0) | 141.7 (+6.3) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | PV 70 – 59 TXSO |
| Jan 31, 2026 | PV 85 – 78 TXSO |
| Feb 1, 2025 | TXSO 79 – 63 PV |
| Mar 9, 2024 | TXSO 93 – 78 PV |
| Feb 3, 2024 | TXSO 80 – 69 PV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PV | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-27 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 12-6 |
| Home | 3-7 | 9-4 |
| Away | 2-19 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.2 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -15.8 (#355) | -7.4 (#286) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.79 (#361) | -1.65 (#316) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.55 (#362) | -1.69 (#289) |
| RPI | 0.378 (#358) | 0.454 (#274) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PV | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 27.7 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.2% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 60.7% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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