Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | TXSO -450 PV +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +15 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | TXSO -8.7 (+6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (+32.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -7.1 (+7.9) | 141.5 (+29.5) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -6.9 (+8.1) | 141.7 (+29.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -8.4 (+6.6) | 138.4 (+32.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -7.6 (+7.4) | 137.5 (+33.5) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | PV 70 – 59 TXSO |
| Jan 31, 2026 | PV 85 – 78 TXSO |
| Mar 8, 2025 | TXSO 80 – 68 PV |
| Feb 1, 2025 | TXSO 79 – 63 PV |
| Feb 3, 2024 | TXSO 80 – 69 PV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXSO | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 5-13 |
| Home | 7-4 | 5-6 |
| Away | 6-11 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 77.3 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#283) | -12.2 (#334) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#268) | -1.73 (#317) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#273) | -2.21 (#325) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#211) | 0.428 (#314) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXSO | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 22.5% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 65.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 32.9% |
Game Analysis
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