Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | TXSO -135 PV +114 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PV +11 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | TXSO -3.9 (-14.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.5 (-32.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -2.1 (-13.1) | 156.8 (-27.8) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -4.2 (-15.2) | 156.2 (-27.2) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -2.8 (-13.8) | 151.6 (-22.6) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -2.8 (-13.8) | 154.0 (-25.0) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | PV 85 – 78 TXSO |
| Mar 8, 2025 | TXSO 80 – 68 PV |
| Feb 1, 2025 | TXSO 79 – 63 PV |
| Mar 9, 2024 | TXSO 93 – 78 PV |
| Feb 3, 2024 | TXSO 80 – 69 PV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXSO | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-18 | 19-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-5 | 10-3 |
| Away | 3-12 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.0 | 78.9 |
| Massey | -11.0 (#322) | -11.9 (#328) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.47 (#301) | -1.82 (#325) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.84 (#296) | -2.25 (#324) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#271) | 0.426 (#329) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXSO | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 33.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 64.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.3% | 33.0% |
Game Analysis
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