Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | TXSO -500 PV +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +16 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | TXSO -7.7 (+8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.0 (-17.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -6.1 (+9.9) | 154.0 (-12.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -6.8 (+9.2) | 152.6 (-10.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -8.2 (+7.8) | 150.9 (-8.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -7.6 (+8.4) | 151.8 (-9.8) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | PV 70 – 59 TXSO |
| Jan 31, 2026 | PV 85 – 78 TXSO |
| Mar 8, 2025 | TXSO 80 – 68 PV |
| Mar 9, 2024 | TXSO 93 – 78 PV |
| Feb 3, 2024 | TXSO 80 – 69 PV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXSO | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 5-27 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 4-14 |
| Home | 9-4 | 3-7 |
| Away | 6-12 | 2-19 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 82.2 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#304) | -13.1 (#348) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#279) | -3.25 (#359) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.59 (#284) | -3.93 (#359) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#281) | 0.381 (#348) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXSO | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 27.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 56.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 63.5% | 59.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 32.0% |
Game Analysis
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