Betting Lines
| Spread | NAVY -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | AMER +260 NAVY -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMER win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NAVY +9 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | NAVY -2.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (-16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NAVY -0.1 (-8.9) | 143.3 (-14.3) | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NAVY -1.0 (-8.0) | 139.2 (-10.2) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NAVY -1.5 (-7.5) | 142.8 (-13.8) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NAVY -0.5 (-8.5) | 142.4 (-13.4) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | NAVY 82 – 73 AMER |
| Jan 13, 2026 | AMER 65 – 51 NAVY |
| Mar 12, 2025 | AMER 74 – 52 NAVY |
| Feb 27, 2025 | NAVY 68 – 60 AMER |
| Jan 3, 2025 | NAVY 81 – 58 AMER |
Game Analysis
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