Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | RUTG -175 MD +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MD +9 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | RUTG -4.1 (-13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.7 (-3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -4.8 (-13.8) | 129.8 (-2.8) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RUTG -3.0 (-12.0) | 128.3 (-1.3) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RUTG -4.4 (-13.4) | 131.8 (-4.8) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -5.0 (-14.0) | 131.3 (-4.3) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | RUTG 69 – 65 MD |
| Feb 15, 2026 | RUTG 68 – 57 MD |
| Feb 9, 2025 | MD 90 – 81 RUTG |
| Mar 13, 2024 | MD 65 – 51 RUTG |
| Feb 25, 2024 | MD 63 – 46 RUTG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-12 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 9-11 |
| Home | 10-4 | 11-6 |
| Away | 4-6 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 67.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 65.9 |
| Massey | 13.2 (#29) | 11.4 (#34) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.37 (#30) | 2.14 (#42) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.37 (#18) | 2.95 (#30) |
| RPI | 0.584 (#42) | 0.577 (#50) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 21.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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