Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | ORST +260 COLO -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +4 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | COLO -9.7 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.3 (-17.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -5.4 (+1.4) | 135.6 (-17.6) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -6.9 (+2.9) | 132.0 (-14.0) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -6.6 (+2.6) | 136.1 (-18.1) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -5.7 (+1.7) | 135.6 (-17.6) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2024 | COLO 73 – 57 ORST |
| Jan 21, 2024 | COLO 90 – 57 ORST |
| Jan 29, 2023 | ORST 60 – 52 COLO |
| Jan 8, 2023 | COLO 62 – 42 ORST |
| Feb 16, 2022 | COLO 90 – 64 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 23-9 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 14-6 |
| Home | 10-6 | 11-1 |
| Away | 4-6 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 63.8 |
| Massey | 3.0 (#124) | 15.1 (#16) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#116) | 1.85 (#53) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.18 (#100) | 2.59 (#44) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#165) | 0.593 (#35) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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