In North Carolina way back in the hills, there lived my pappy and he had him a still. "White Lightning" - The Big Bopper
The HTC Center · February 21, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread CCU -6.5 Home covered
O/U 141.5 Under
Money CCU -250 / GASO +250
Model Predictions
Spread Total CCU win
Actual CCU +10 120 Won
Massey CCU -9.3 (+0.7) — —
Massey Totals — 142.6 (-22.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 73% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 79% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CCU -7.9 (+2.1) 140.3 (-20.3) 80% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CCU -8.1 (+1.9) 139.1 (-19.1) 77% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CCU -7.3 (+2.7) 139.6 (-19.6) 78% ✓
Baseline ML CCU -8.3 (+1.7) 140.7 (-20.7) 79% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 8, 2026 GASO 96 – 72 CCU
Jan 17, 2026 CCU 79 – 75 GASO
Jan 1, 2026 GASO 82 – 81 CCU
Jan 23, 2025 GASO 85 – 58 CCU
Jan 17, 2025 GASO 88 – 87 CCU

Game Analysis

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