Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSB -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | UCSB -333 CSUB +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSB +19 | 107 | Won |
| Massey | UCSB -9.8 (+9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.9 (-22.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSB -9.6 (+9.4) | 131.5 (-24.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSB -6.2 (+12.8) | 127.5 (-20.5) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSB -9.1 (+9.9) | 130.3 (-23.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSB -9.9 (+9.1) | 130.7 (-23.7) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | UCSB 75 – 69 CSUB |
| Dec 7, 2025 | UCSB 109 – 84 CSUB |
| Mar 13, 2025 | UCSB 71 – 66 CSUB |
| Feb 7, 2025 | UCSB 81 – 75 CSUB |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UCSB 78 – 66 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSB | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-5 | 15-11 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 9-7 |
| Home | 11-0 | 9-2 |
| Away | 8-4 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.6 | 65.7 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#69) | 1.1 (#148) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.68 (#59) | 0.56 (#129) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.83 (#71) | 0.81 (#121) |
| RPI | 0.595 (#33) | 0.523 (#128) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSB | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 39.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 30.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.