Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | HC +250 ARMY -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HC +16 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | ARMY -7.0 (+23.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (-26.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -4.8 (+20.8) | 145.1 (-27.1) | 29% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -5.7 (+21.7) | 145.5 (-27.5) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -4.1 (+20.1) | 147.6 (-29.6) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -4.4 (+20.4) | 145.7 (-27.7) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | ARMY 69 – 68 HC |
| Jan 14, 2026 | HC 82 – 75 ARMY |
| Feb 5, 2025 | ARMY 68 – 65 HC |
| Jan 22, 2025 | ARMY 76 – 71 HC |
| Mar 5, 2024 | HC 84 – 68 ARMY |
Game Analysis
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