Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | COLG -600 BU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +15 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -21.2 (-6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.5 (-10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -18.8 (-3.8) | 151.5 (-10.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -16.2 (-1.2) | 152.7 (-11.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -18.9 (-3.9) | 151.2 (-10.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -18.7 (-3.7) | 151.7 (-10.7) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2026 | BU 85 – 58 COLG |
| Jan 24, 2026 | COLG 80 – 79 BU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BU 93 – 91 COLG |
| Jan 11, 2025 | COLG 87 – 50 BU |
| Feb 8, 2024 | COLG 74 – 64 BU |
Game Analysis
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