Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | OSU +120 MICH -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +5 | 179 | Lost |
| Massey | OSU -0.9 (-5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.1 (+30.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -2.8 (-7.8) | 147.1 (+31.9) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -2.3 (-7.3) | 142.3 (+36.7) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -1.8 (-6.8) | 148.1 (+30.9) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -2.5 (-7.5) | 148.1 (+30.9) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | MICH 71 – 67 OSU |
| Feb 8, 2026 | MICH 82 – 61 OSU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | MICH 74 – 62 OSU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | MICH 86 – 83 OSU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | OSU 84 – 61 MICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-10 | 23-5 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 14-3 |
| Home | 10-4 | 13-1 |
| Away | 7-4 | 6-2 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 65.1 |
| Massey | 17.8 (#6) | 19.3 (#5) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.37 (#4) | 4.08 (#3) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.79 (#4) | 5.19 (#3) |
| RPI | 0.631 (#6) | 0.638 (#4) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 49.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 31.0% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 43.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
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