Betting Lines
| Spread | L-MD -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | L-MD -700 LEH +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | L-MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +4 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | L-MD -14.3 (-18.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.7 (+6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | L-MD -12.6 (-16.6) | 145.7 (+2.3) | 87% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | L-MD -11.4 (-15.4) | 144.3 (+3.7) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | L-MD -12.8 (-16.8) | 147.7 (+0.3) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | L-MD -12.2 (-16.2) | 146.7 (+1.3) | 86% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | L-MD 89 – 84 LEH |
| Jan 20, 2026 | LEH 88 – 81 L-MD |
| Mar 5, 2025 | L-MD 77 – 73 LEH |
| Jan 18, 2025 | L-MD 76 – 60 LEH |
| Jan 5, 2025 | L-MD 80 – 74 LEH |
Game Analysis
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