Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | CSUN +175 HAW -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +8 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | HAW -6.2 (+14.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (+21.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -3.3 (+11.3) | 144.7 (+23.3) | 36% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -4.0 (+12.0) | 142.8 (+25.2) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -3.8 (+11.8) | 147.0 (+21.0) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -3.8 (+11.8) | 145.4 (+22.6) | 36% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | CSUN 84 – 60 HAW |
| Jan 25, 2026 | HAW 89 – 68 CSUN |
| Mar 9, 2025 | CSUN 82 – 73 HAW |
| Jan 17, 2025 | CSUN 83 – 60 HAW |
| Mar 15, 2024 | HAW 75 – 68 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-13 | 11-10 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 4-7 | 7-5 |
| Away | 4-4 | 4-4 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 70.3 |
| Massey | -9.1 (#296) | -0.5 (#174) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.03 (#255) | -0.19 (#189) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.53 (#268) | -0.33 (#191) |
| RPI | 0.416 (#300) | 0.472 (#216) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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