Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -32.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | GONZ -100000 USD +3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +37 | 175 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -32.7 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.2 (+16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -22.3 (+14.7) | 156.9 (+18.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -22.0 (+15.0) | 156.6 (+18.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -30.0 (+7.0) | 158.6 (+16.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -29.8 (+7.2) | 157.8 (+17.2) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2025 | GONZ 99 – 93 USD |
| Jan 9, 2025 | GONZ 93 – 80 USD |
| Jan 21, 2024 | GONZ 105 – 63 USD |
| Jan 7, 2024 | GONZ 101 – 74 USD |
| Feb 24, 2023 | GONZ 97 – 72 USD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | USD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-1 | 3-11 |
| Conference | 15-0 | 2-7 |
| Home | 12-0 | 0-5 |
| Away | 7-0 | 3-5 |
| Neutral | 12-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 91.0 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 77.1 |
| Massey | 25.4 (#1) | -4.9 (#244) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.47 (#1) | -0.17 (#183) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 7.20 (#2) | -0.30 (#189) |
| RPI | 0.662 (#1) | 0.499 (#171) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | USD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 55.4% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.58 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.2% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 18.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 76.4% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.