Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -31.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +13 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -34.4 (-21.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (+21.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -29.7 (-16.7) | 152.4 (+20.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -25.1 (-12.1) | 155.9 (+17.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -21.9 (-8.9) | 150.1 (+22.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -29.8 (-16.8) | 148.3 (+24.7) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2025 | GONZ 99 – 93 USD |
| Jan 21, 2024 | GONZ 105 – 63 USD |
| Jan 7, 2024 | GONZ 101 – 74 USD |
| Feb 24, 2023 | GONZ 97 – 72 USD |
| Feb 4, 2022 | GONZ 92 – 62 USD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | USD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 6-27 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 2-16 |
| Home | 13-2 | 5-13 |
| Away | 7-2 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 6-5 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.4 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 80.2 |
| Massey | 22.1 (#4) | -8.2 (#298) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.69 (#29) | -2.50 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.84 (#26) | -2.58 (#324) |
| RPI | 0.633 (#23) | 0.384 (#344) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | USD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.4% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 27.3% |
| REB / G | 40.3 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.89 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 30.5% |
Game Analysis
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