Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | ORE -400 UTAH +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +3 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | ORE -7.3 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.8 (-6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -7.6 (-4.6) | 137.5 (-6.5) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -5.4 (-2.4) | 135.5 (-4.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -6.9 (-3.9) | 138.7 (-7.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -7.3 (-4.3) | 137.2 (-6.2) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2024 | ORE 66 – 65 UTAH |
| Jan 21, 2024 | UTAH 80 – 77 ORE |
| Jan 29, 2023 | ORE 68 – 56 UTAH |
| Jan 8, 2023 | ORE 70 – 60 UTAH |
| Feb 6, 2022 | ORE 80 – 77 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-7 | 12-13 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 8-11 |
| Home | 11-2 | 8-5 |
| Away | 7-2 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 69.8 |
| Massey | 11.3 (#35) | 6.4 (#86) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.02 (#49) | 0.83 (#107) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.54 (#49) | 1.26 (#97) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#55) | 0.529 (#120) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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