Tire tracks all across your back - I can see you've had your fun. "Crosstown Traffic"- Jimi Hendrix
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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56–34 on winners spread MAE 9.4 95 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Kent State @ Akron +4.0 154.3 68% 62–66 ✓
Wright State @ Oakland -9.8 149.7 23% 90–51 ✓
Cleveland State @ IU Indianapolis -0.3 138.6 46% 65–62 ✓
Texas State @ Louisiana +3.7 134.8 65% 77–83 ✓
Arkansas State @ UL Monroe +3.6 132.1 73% 72–84 ✓
Old Dominion @ Florida International +4.7 158.4 67% 67–82 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Long Beach State -8.7 144.0 24% 89–90 ✗
Marshall @ Louisiana Tech -0.5 148.7 50% 68–75 ✗
UTEP @ Southern Miss -8.3 129.9 27% 66–74 ✗
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Santa Barbara — — — 63–81 —
Texas @ Kansas +2.3 138.9 62% 84–59 ✗
Creighton @ Providence -1.0 152.8 51% 67–65 ✓
Missouri @ Arkansas +8.2 145.6 71% 81–68 ✗
Louisville @ Boston College -3.8 142.0 37% 76–64 ✓
Elon @ Northeastern +4.8 132.2 65% 52–75 ✓
Duquesne @ George Washington +0.0 149.3 53% 75–63 ✗
Baylor @ Iowa State -15.0 149.8 14% 76–65 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Canisius -1.5 134.3 47% 60–63 ✗
Florida A&M @ South Carolina +10.9 143.3 84% 71–78 ✓
Chattanooga @ VMI -0.8 140.7 53% 79–84 ✗
Iowa @ Rutgers +2.3 165.7 53% 77–75 ✗
North Carolina A&T @ South Carolina State -4.3 146.8 18% 97–86 ✓
East Carolina @ Tulane -1.8 132.1 52% 56–60 ✗
Niagara @ Marist +3.1 125.7 66% 86–72 ✗
Clemson @ Miami -6.1 127.3 25% 66–65 ✓
Lafayette @ Lehigh — — — 89–90 —
Bucknell @ Navy — — — 69–78 —
LSU @ Florida +2.7 152.3 63% 79–83 ✓
Binghamton @ Hartford +5.0 132.2 69% 56–76 ✓
TCU @ Kansas State -1.5 139.8 44% 67–60 ✓
Mercer @ Furman +9.8 155.0 84% 80–83 ✓
Toledo @ Western Michigan -9.6 138.2 23% 70–59 ✓
William & Mary @ Hofstra +10.3 144.1 83% 56–61 ✓
Charleston @ Delaware +2.2 133.4 62% 67–70 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Idaho -0.0 135.9 46% 83–78 ✓
Tulsa @ Cincinnati -0.4 134.2 45% 70–66 ✓
Army @ Colgate — — — 57–101 —
Georgia State @ Coastal Carolina +4.5 158.3 66% 70–62 ✗
South Alabama @ Georgia Southern -3.9 153.2 37% 49–62 ✗
New Hampshire @ Maine -0.9 131.7 50% 56–59 ✗
Old Dominion @ Florida International +4.4 157.0 67% 71–66 ✗
UTSA @ Rice +10.3 153.0 82% 69–84 ✓
Ohio @ Ball State -2.6 146.1 45% 78–68 ✓
Auburn @ Texas A&M +0.4 137.1 52% 66–68 ✓
West Virginia @ Oklahoma +0.4 144.7 59% 71–75 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Texas Tech +10.1 132.5 70% 82–77 ✗
Notre Dame @ North Carolina +11.1 146.0 84% 65–66 ✓
Colorado State @ San Diego State +4.3 128.0 49% 70–67 ✗
Northern Iowa @ Evansville +0.9 141.2 55% 61–65 ✓
Utah @ USC +10.0 139.6 84% 46–64 ✓
Green Bay @ Youngstown State +6.4 148.8 64% 79–69 ✗
Jacksonville @ Kennesaw State +0.6 129.8 50% 72–66 ✗
Troy @ App State +2.3 126.6 59% 59–90 ✓
Lamar @ Abilene Christian +21.8 132.3 90% 65–83 ✓
NJIT @ UMass Lowell +1.0 143.6 53% 73–67 ✗
Western Kentucky @ Charlotte -0.6 135.2 53% 71–75 ✗
Utah Valley @ Weber State +15.4 150.7 86% 62–70 ✓
Butler @ Seton Hall +13.5 141.4 87% 60–68 ✓
George Mason @ Dayton +5.2 139.1 69% 65–74 ✓
North Dakota State @ Western Illinois -1.4 139.0 46% 68–50 ✓
Kansas City @ North Dakota +1.0 123.9 49% 45–52 ✓
Rider @ Fairfield -0.8 135.0 47% 56–72 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ Richmond +4.2 145.1 66% 69–66 ✗
Oral Roberts @ Omaha -2.3 147.8 37% 95–83 ✓
Denver @ South Dakota +11.3 147.1 83% 54–93 ✓
Wright State @ Oakland -11.2 148.5 20% 71–81 ✗
Cleveland State @ IU Indianapolis +2.0 138.4 54% 59–49 ✗
Morehead State @ Murray State +6.5 132.7 72% 61–56 ✗
Tennessee Tech @ Eastern Illinois +7.5 142.1 80% 81–87 ✓
Belmont @ UT Martin -10.9 149.7 15% 90–69 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Austin Peay -1.3 149.8 43% 80–75 ✓
Liberty @ Lipscomb -8.0 143.9 27% 66–50 ✓
Central Arkansas @ McNeese -6.1 152.6 23% 81–67 ✓
Texas State @ Louisiana +5.1 131.5 72% 71–59 ✗
UT Arlington @ Little Rock +7.5 153.9 77% 62–75 ✓
Arkansas State @ UL Monroe +3.7 130.9 64% 55–62 ✓
UTEP @ Southern Miss -7.4 127.1 32% 77–62 ✓
East Tennessee State @ UNC Greensboro +3.6 133.1 60% 71–61 ✗
LSU New Orleans @ Stephen F. Austin +2.2 137.0 65% 67–78 ✓
Grambling @ Alabama State — — — 66–49 —
Alabama @ Tennessee +13.3 143.2 80% 71–63 ✗
Purdue @ Illinois +11.7 151.3 84% 58–66 ✓
Indiana State @ Missouri State +9.2 141.6 83% 74–84 ✓
California @ Oregon State -0.1 134.6 53% 64–73 ✗
Utah State @ Air Force -11.9 130.2 17% 72–53 ✓
Kentucky @ Mississippi State +7.8 135.8 78% 78–73 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Northern Kentucky +6.8 147.9 76% 68–70 ✓
Tennessee State @ Southeast Missouri State +4.3 136.1 66% 79–83 ✓
Sam Houston @ Nicholls +4.7 142.7 69% 84–81 ✗
Wichita State @ Ole Miss +10.8 135.4 78% 83–79 ✗
UAlbany @ Vermont +7.9 139.5 56% 63–62 ✗
Mississippi Valley State @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff +14.5 147.8 85% 52–92 ✓
Bowling Green @ Northern Illinois -12.2 149.2 16% 68–42 ✓
Boise State @ San José State -17.1 153.0 12% 87–86 ✓
Fordham @ La Salle +18.0 128.8 88% 52–89 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.