Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | OAK +475 WRST -650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +10 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | WRST -14.6 (+24.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.2 (+1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -10.7 (+20.7) | 148.3 (+3.7) | 18% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -8.9 (+18.9) | 152.7 (-0.7) | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -11.6 (+21.6) | 152.8 (-0.8) | 20% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -11.2 (+21.2) | 148.5 (+3.5) | 20% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | WRST 94 – 84 OAK |
| Dec 30, 2025 | WRST 88 – 73 OAK |
| Jan 10, 2025 | WRST 66 – 62 OAK |
| Dec 6, 2024 | OAK 66 – 64 WRST |
| Feb 25, 2024 | WRST 96 – 75 OAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-18 | 18-6 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 16-4 |
| Home | 5-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 6-11 | 9-2 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 82.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.2 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -10.4 (#302) | 7.7 (#63) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#241) | 1.51 (#69) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#226) | 2.26 (#65) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#139) | 0.556 (#87) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.2% | 49.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 41.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.1% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.6% | 43.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.2% | 15.6% |
Game Analysis
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