Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | IUIN +145 CLE -165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +3 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | IUIN -3.1 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.5 (-12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IUIN -1.5 (-4.5) | 140.3 (-13.3) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -1.5 (-1.5) | 141.1 (-14.1) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -0.3 (-2.7) | 138.6 (-11.6) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | CLE 101 – 93 IUIN |
| Feb 7, 2026 | IUIN 82 – 74 CLE |
| Dec 30, 2025 | CLE 99 – 86 IUIN |
| Jan 19, 2025 | CLE 73 – 62 IUIN |
| Jan 4, 2025 | CLE 67 – 61 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IUIN | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-10 | 19-8 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 16-4 |
| Home | 3-5 | 9-2 |
| Away | 4-5 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#214) | -2.8 (#205) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#136) | 0.64 (#122) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#150) | 0.49 (#142) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#250) | 0.578 (#68) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IUIN | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.7% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.5% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 30.0% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.3% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 63.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.0% | 32.1% |
Game Analysis
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