Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Over |
| Money | KU -190 TEX +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +25 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | KU -4.4 (-29.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (+2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -4.2 (-29.2) | 139.9 (+3.1) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -3.0 (-28.0) | 138.0 (+5.0) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -0.4 (-25.4) | 140.0 (+3.0) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KU -2.3 (-27.3) | 138.9 (+4.1) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2024 | KU 86 – 67 TEX |
| Mar 11, 2023 | TEX 76 – 56 KU |
| Mar 4, 2023 | TEX 75 – 59 KU |
| Feb 7, 2023 | KU 88 – 80 TEX |
| Mar 5, 2022 | KU 70 – 63 TEX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-9 | 19-8 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 11-6 |
| Home | 14-1 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-6 | 6-2 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 65.8 |
| Massey | 13.3 (#23) | 12.5 (#29) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.99 (#4) | 2.80 (#19) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.65 (#6) | 4.11 (#19) |
| RPI | 0.636 (#21) | 0.665 (#10) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 42.5 | 40.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 42.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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