Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.0 Under |
| Money | AKR -155 KENT +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AKR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +4 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | AKR -3.5 (+0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.7 (-31.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -3.5 (+0.5) | 154.9 (-26.9) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -3.2 (+0.8) | 150.0 (-22.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -3.6 (+0.4) | 152.6 (-24.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -4.0 (-0.0) | 154.3 (-26.3) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | AKR 75 – 68 KENT |
| Feb 28, 2026 | AKR 92 – 70 KENT |
| Jan 30, 2026 | AKR 69 – 52 KENT |
| Mar 1, 2025 | AKR 77 – 72 KENT |
| Feb 1, 2025 | AKR 85 – 71 KENT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AKR | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-8 | 15-8 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 12-6 |
| Home | 9-1 | 9-2 |
| Away | 5-5 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 7.5 (#66) | 7.6 (#65) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#154) | 0.52 (#130) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#116) | 1.14 (#107) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#183) | 0.547 (#100) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AKR | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.3% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 39.0% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.0% | 56.3% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 11.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 44.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.3% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
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