I know you're dissatisfied with your position and your place. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Ocean Bank Convocation Center · January 2, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread ODU -1.0 Away covered
O/U 148.5 Under
Money FIU -105 / ODU -115
Model Predictions
Spread Total FIU win
Actual ODU +5 137 Lost
Massey FIU -4.1 (-9.1) — —
Massey Totals — 168.4 (-31.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 31% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 29% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ FIU -4.6 (-9.6) 151.3 (-14.3) 66% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML FIU -4.2 (-9.2) 155.8 (-18.8) 67% ✗
Baseline ML FIU -4.4 (-9.4) 157.0 (-20.0) 67% ✗
Baseline Plus ML FIU -3.3 (-8.3) 155.4 (-18.4) 64% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 27, 2022 ODU 83 – 63 FIU
Dec 31, 2021 ODU 82 – 77 FIU
Jan 2, 2021 FIU 82 – 67 ODU

Game Analysis

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