Betting Lines
| Spread | FIU -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | FIU -115 ODU -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FIU +15 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | FIU -4.1 (+10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.4 (-19.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FIU -4.4 (+10.6) | 151.6 (-2.6) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FIU -3.9 (+11.1) | 157.6 (-8.6) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FIU -4.7 (+10.3) | 158.4 (-9.4) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FIU -2.7 (+12.3) | 156.3 (-7.3) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2022 | ODU 83 – 63 FIU |
| Dec 31, 2021 | ODU 82 – 77 FIU |
| Jan 2, 2021 | ODU 71 – 66 FIU |
Game Analysis
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