I got a baby's brain and an old man's heart "I'm Eighteen" - Alice Cooper
Ocean Bank Convocation Center · December 31, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread FIU -1.0 Away covered
O/U 125.5 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total FIU win
Actual ODU +5 159 Lost
Massey FIU -6.5 (-11.5) — —
Massey Totals — 125.2 (+33.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 86% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 88% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ FIU -3.3 (-8.3) 136.4 (+22.6) 57% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML FIU -5.6 (-10.6) 135.5 (+23.5) 73% ✗
Baseline ML FIU -4.6 (-9.6) 136.3 (+22.7) 68% ✗
Baseline Plus ML FIU -5.3 (-10.3) 136.8 (+22.2) 63% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 27, 2022 ODU 83 – 63 FIU
Jan 2, 2021 ODU 71 – 66 FIU
Jan 2, 2021 FIU 82 – 67 ODU

Game Analysis

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