Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Under |
| Money | EVAN +220 UNI -260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EVAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EVAN +4 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | UNI -1.5 (+5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (-16.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EVAN -0.7 (+3.3) | 141.0 (-15.0) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNI -0.2 (+4.2) | 139.2 (-13.2) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EVAN -0.6 (+3.4) | 143.1 (-17.1) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EVAN -0.9 (+3.1) | 141.2 (-15.2) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UNI 68 – 59 EVAN |
| Jan 31, 2026 | UNI 71 – 55 EVAN |
| Jan 4, 2026 | UNI 62 – 48 EVAN |
| Jan 15, 2025 | UNI 73 – 56 EVAN |
| Jan 24, 2024 | UNI 70 – 63 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EVAN | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-16 | 10-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-4 | 6-5 |
| Away | 1-10 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W3 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.8 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#254) | -0.8 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#214) | -0.78 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.97 (#216) | -0.95 (#213) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#205) | 0.526 (#122) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EVAN | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.8% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 30.1 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 6.4 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 19.0% | 20.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 15.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.