Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | OU -125 WVU +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +4 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | OU -1.3 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.1 (-2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -0.8 (+3.2) | 144.4 (+1.6) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -1.4 (+2.6) | 146.6 (-0.6) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OU -1.0 (+3.0) | 147.9 (-1.9) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OU -0.4 (+3.6) | 144.7 (+1.3) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Apr 5, 2026 | WVU 89 – 82 OU |
| Jan 18, 2024 | OU 77 – 63 WVU |
| Feb 5, 2023 | WVU 93 – 61 OU |
| Jan 14, 2023 | OU 77 – 76 WVU |
| Mar 2, 2022 | OU 72 – 59 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-11 | 19-10 |
| Conference | 9-8 | 11-6 |
| Home | 10-3 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-7 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 9.5 (#53) | 11.8 (#37) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.56 (#64) | 3.50 (#9) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.19 (#66) | 4.88 (#11) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#138) | 0.678 (#5) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 41.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 15.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 39.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.5% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
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