We are like Greeks. We are like Romans. / Centaurs and monkeys just cluster 'round us "Nemesis" - Shriekback
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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27–12 on winners spread MAE 7.1 40 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
UCF @ South Florida -0.6 134.4 44% 61–68 ✗
Wyoming @ Fresno State -0.4 150.3 41% 78–74 ✓
Marshall @ Louisiana Tech +0.7 145.8 55% 80–73 ✗
Samford @ Wofford +3.9 147.1 68% 84–94 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Long Beach State -6.4 149.6 23% 89–76 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Montana +11.7 128.7 75% 64–62 ✗
North Texas @ Loyola Chicago +8.0 136.1 77% 49–57 ✓
Marquette @ Georgetown -1.5 150.3 48% 64–60 ✓
San Francisco @ Gonzaga +14.7 158.1 85% 62–85 ✓
Michigan State @ Nebraska +0.8 148.5 55% 84–77 ✗
Colorado @ UCLA -3.9 144.8 34% 62–65 ✗
Northwestern State @ Houston Christian +1.9 160.9 51% 93–99 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Santa Barbara +12.6 141.3 84% 61–65 ✓
Stanford @ Oregon +5.1 139.1 70% 56–73 ✓
Nevada @ New Mexico -3.4 135.8 36% 84–74 ✓
Arizona @ Washington State -6.5 134.8 20% 86–82 ✓
Elon @ Northeastern +8.4 131.2 79% 58–66 ✓
NJIT @ UMass Lowell -0.4 141.2 46% 60–74 ✗
New Hampshire @ Maine +0.2 128.7 43% 62–58 ✗
Duquesne @ George Washington -2.9 145.1 42% 73–75 ✗
Binghamton @ Hartford +9.0 131.1 80% 74–77 ✓
William & Mary @ Hofstra +9.1 138.3 81% 73–82 ✓
Charleston @ Delaware +2.3 132.7 52% 66–59 ✗
Monmouth @ Siena — — — 77–78 —
Army @ Colgate +18.0 148.8 87% 75–73 ✗
North Carolina A&T @ South Carolina State -5.3 146.6 18% 73–66 ✓
Indiana State @ Missouri State +10.1 145.6 82% 66–70 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Evansville +1.7 136.9 57% 64–70 ✓
Lehigh @ Lafayette +5.1 155.7 79% 70–82 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Rhode Island +12.5 151.9 86% 77–85 ✓
North Dakota State @ Western Illinois -5.9 135.0 32% 78–67 ✓
Kansas City @ North Dakota +1.6 124.9 42% 77–53 ✗
Oral Roberts @ Omaha -6.3 151.5 24% 86–75 ✓
Denver @ South Dakota +16.6 146.1 90% 57–79 ✓
UAlbany @ Vermont +4.0 135.2 64% 66–74 ✓
Ohio State @ Minnesota +2.5 152.3 58% 60–77 ✓
Morgan State @ James Madison -0.1 143.7 46% 80–73 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Drake +14.9 149.1 88% 55–73 ✓
Wake Forest @ Georgia Tech +0.7 149.3 58% 54–70 ✓
Navy @ Bucknell +0.4 144.2 53% 63–60 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.